Showing posts with label fiscal discipline. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fiscal discipline. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Political Quote of the Day


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This caught my eye today en route to something else. Right now the political class in Washington is convinced on one side there is no limit to spending to get what it thinks it needs and wants.

On the other side are folks who are attempting to live by a principled and disciplined fiscal policy.

And by the way, I'm not making that assessment based on Republicans and Democrats. I'm differentiating between status quo spenders from both parties and the growing class of Libertarians who are trying to return us to spending sanity as a nation. That's no easy task now.

One can only wonder which side will prevail.

Moody's, the credit worthiness analysts, issued a memo today to lay aside any fears that the government might default if President Obama doesn't get his way with raising the debt ceiling. These comments basically confirm most of what you're hearing is nothing more than the usual political rhetoric. My takeaway from their memo is, "Mr. President, shut up and manage the government, just don't spend more than you take in." Haven't we been saying that to our POTUS all along?

Quoting from the memo: "We believe the government would continue to pay interest and principal on its debt even in the event that the debt limit is not raised, leaving its creditworthiness intact. The debt limit restricts government expenditures to the amount of its incoming revenues; it does not prohibit the government from servicing its debt. There is no direct connection between the debt limit (actually the exhaustion of the Treasury’s extraordinary measures to raise funds) and a default."

The memo offers a starkly different view of the consequences of congressional inaction on the debt limit than is held by the White House, many policymakers and other financial analysts. During a press conference at the White House Tuesday, Obama said missing the Oct. 17 deadline would invite “economic chaos.”

The Moody’s memo goes on to argue that the situation is actually much less serious than in 2011, when the nation last faced a pitched battle over the debt limit.

“The budget deficit was considerably larger in 2011 than it is currently, so the magnitude of the necessary spending cuts needed after 17 October is lower now than it was then,” the memo says.

Now hear this, people: This POTUS has cried "Wolf" many, many times. Whatever credibility anyone thought he once had is quickly diminishing.


Saturday, July 27, 2013

Detroit, Bankrupt, and For What?

This past week a new chapter in history was written in America, and it's not a happy chapter. The once-proud Motor City of the 50s has become the poster child for the biggest Chapter 9 bankruptcy of a municipality. The city fathers managed to run up $18 billion in debt that could not be repaid.

Many will clamor for the federal government to bail out Detroit. By the way, the "federal government" here should be translated - YOU! Taxpayers will soon come to realize it's really THEIR money at stake here whenever the topic turns to "bailout." I'm wondering if finally someone in Washington will draw the line in the sand and say, "No. We will not bail out ANY reckless spending by cities, counties or state governments." Then, having set THAT precedent, we might be able to establish a precedent for the federal government too.

Detroit’s bankruptcy filing is only the latest chapter in a long slow-reading book that has been written over a period of decades, but it should serve as a model for what NOT to do if you're running a city government. We used to study GM in business school as a model for American ingenuity and good old fashioned know-how when it came to making automobiles in the post-World War II era.

But Detroit's greatest strengths (its workers) became Detroit's greatest weaknesses (the unions those workers belonged to). The manufacturing decline in America had its roots in the factories of Detroit. The basic economic math became immutable as the city once bristling with economic wellness lost more than 60 percent of its population (2 million down to 800,000) because it gave exactly the wrong response to the manufacturing decline. On a grand scale we've seen Barack Obama doing the same thing at the federal level.

Detroit’s city fathers, as Mitt Romney documented so well in his campaign for the presidency, attempted to do the impossible by shifting resources from the private sector to the public sector. It's straight out of the socialists' play book. It's never worked ANYWHERE, and least of all in America. The leaders in Detroit failed to realize people who worked there would react predictably when they raised taxes and increased regulations, simultaneously growing their city government like the consequences would never come home to roost.

The tragedy here was the city was following the lead of a doomed GM, Chrysler and Ford. Rather than implement sound financial and economic policies and promote a vibrant private sector to help rejuvenate the city, Detroit's leaders did exactly what the Big Three automakers were doing - growing their city government through generous promises to their workers with unaffordable future pension and health care benefits. Just as the auto unions drove the Big Three to their knees, by far the biggest portion of Detroit’s debt comes from these unaffordable promises: $6 billion in health and other post-employment benefits for retirees and $3 billion in pensions. Mind you, these are public employees unions who won their concessions through collective bargaining, again mirroring their brothers in the private unions. They ignored the warnings of the past that public employees should never be granted collective bargaining powers.

Governor Scott Walker, Wisconsin
Wisconsin's Governor Scott Walker taught the nation a powerful lesson when he stood up to the public unions in his state. Detroit's failure is only an endorsement of Walker's approach to responsible government having to take principled and difficult stands. By doing what he did, Walker helped Wisconsin avoid a similar fate.

Today I read an interesting article about which states are running down a fast track to financial oblivion. You might want to check to see if your state is on this list. Do you want to guess which states headline this list?

For many decades, Detroit had sustained itself by bad fiscal management: unaffordable borrowing, state grant schemes, raising taxes, and deferring public pension contributions rather than cutting city spending. And now the end has finally come. The piper always demands payment. With all tax rates close to their statutory max and dismal public services that discourage individuals and businesses from remaining in or coming to Detroit, the city simply cannot continue to fund its operations and service its debt. The population voted with its feet, and the population is who pays the taxes. As Margaret Thatcher once accurately warned, "The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of people to tax." And once the population vacated Detroit, there was no way to keep its promises to the public employee unions. It used to be Economics 101 where I went to school.

It is likely Detroit’s creditors and pensioners may receive pennies on the dollar to what they are owed. That is the sad but irreversible reality. Certainly there will be cries of “unfairness.” But a federal bailout in which we the taxpayers who live in fiscally responsible cities and states have to pay for the services and promises made by city and state governments that waived such discipline for decades, would be the height of "unfair." The "pooling of risk" is a principle applied to insurance policies, where through no fault of their own premium payers can expect to be covered from the larger pool of policy owners when tragedy strikes. Such is NOT the case, and must NEVER be the case here.

Let's be honest, Detroit is not the only city facing serious financial trouble. By setting the precedent of offering NO help for fiscally mismanaged municipalities, it is hoped the representatives of the taxpayers in Washington could learn a lesson from Detroit and begin to put their own fiscal house in order. I am aware this may be wishful thinking and nothing more, but let's start here in Detroit. Further, remember all that bailout money that was spread around in 2009? If it had been helpful, wouldn't every state now be on a more firm financial footing? Bailouts for smaller governments by BIG government simply don't work. PERIOD.

In Utah, a state where leaders are routinely lauded for good management because they are good stewards, any idea of bailouts for cities as poorly managed as Detroit would be punitive and would fail to achieve the intended goal to force local governments to confront and deal with their own mismanagement. If that kind of discipline is required and demanded of the average citizen, is it too much to expect that our public officials should be required to do less? Facing the natural consequences of our poor choices is a childhood lesson, one it seems government officials at all levels seem loathe to learn.

Washington must learn by embracing and valuing what has happened in Detroit. Total national debt is over $17 trillion. For your convenience, I am tracking it day by day here at The Goates Notes (see the window on the right). That debt load is larger now than the whole U.S. economy. It is unsustainable. It is reckless. The profligate spending will ruin this once-great country if allowed to continue in the name of "stimulating the economy."

Look at the factors that drove Detroit into bankruptcy, as I outlined above. Beyond escalating growth in nearly all federal programs, future spending will be driven to the breaking point by our own federal retiree spending programs — Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security. You can add Obamacare to that list now.

It won't be enough to draw the line in sand by discouraging other troubled state and local governments from seeking federal bailouts. They must be compelled to put their fiscal houses in order through their own best efforts at reducing spending.

And those we placed in control in Washington must establish a good example by fixing their own fiscal problems.

Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Mike Lee on Fiscal Discipline

As a volunteer and avid supporter of Mike Lee, I found this in my e-mail inbox tonight from him.  Worth reposting:

Rebuilding our Economy through Fiscal Discipline


Mike Lee, Utah's Next Senator
By U.S. Senate Nominee Mike Lee

Americans in general and Utahns in particular, are positive people by nature. Our citizens look for the silver-lining, believe in the impossible, have confidence in themselves and continually hope that the best is yet to come. The current economy has rocked our nation and caused even the most optimistic among us to question what lies ahead. I believe a rapid reality check, followed by a good dose of fiscal discipline will restore the country's confidence, jump start the economy and put us back on path toward better days.

Reality Check

According to the Department of Labor, the current national unemployment rate is 9.6 percent, meaning nearly 15 million of our friends, family members and neighbors are unemployed today. The options available to them, at the moment seem slim, and the uncertainty of the current landscape is not providing businesses or investors the confidence required to grow or expand.

Even those with jobs are feeling some of the dread, drag and drain of the economy. The average 401(k) account has lost more than a quarter of its value and the average home value is down nearly a third. Consumers are paralyzed and confused by media messages which cast further doubt on the future.

The reality is that this situation as a whole didn't come about by chance or bad luck. It is the unfortunate result of wasteful federal spending and policies that have halted economic growth. The Obama Administration and congressional Democrats have compounded the problem by implementing bad policies, spending borrowed money and increasing regulation on business. The result is seen in record-breaking spending, soaring deficits and a rapidly increasing national debt.

President Obama's $787 billion economic stimulus package from 2009 has failed to address problems in the job market. And even before all of that money has been spent, the administration has proposed that another $350 billion dollar package be piped in to the economy as an additional attempt to revive our nation's economic condition.

This kind of irrational spending is a major reason why the U.S. is quickly approaching a $15 trillion dollar debt-a debt that will be inherited by our children and our grandchildren. It's causing hard-working Americans to work three, four and sometimes even five months out of the year to pay their federal taxes. This spending is irresponsible, it's inexcusable, and it has to stop.

A dose of fiscal discipline

It's time for our federal government to rein in spending and allow Americans to build and create wealth. It is time to stop punishing hard-working people with higher taxes in order to fund unnecessary programs and costly bailouts. It is time to return to the fiscal discipline found in a constitutionally limited government. This is the path that will get America back on its feet and return it to greatness.

Although the current outlook appears bleak, there is hope on the horizon. With the election in November we have an opportunity to elect truly conservative Republicans who will rein in federal spending and adopt the financial discipline required to begin to balance our ever-increasing budget. This kind of discipline will ensure Americans will again have an opportunity to create their own wealth and distribute it as they please, which will naturally enrich the economy, bolster consumer confidence and create real jobs.

As Ronald Reagan once said "It's morning in America again." There is hope for the future, and cause for confidence. November 2nd will mark another new morning, with new leadership and the renewed fiscal discipline required to restore an optimistic future to the people of this great Country.